Speaking Task 4

Task 4: Making Predictions

Objective: Describe what you think will most likely happen next in the picture, using future language and logical reasoning based only on what you see.


What the Task Requires

You’ll be shown the same image from Task 3, but this time, you must make predictions about what is likely to happen next.

You must:

  • Speak for 60 seconds
  • Use future tense and modals of possibility (e.g., will, might, could)
  • Make logical, realistic predictions based only on visual evidence
  • Demonstrate ability to explain why you think those things will happen

Time Limits

  • Preparation Time: 30 seconds
  • Speaking Time: 60 seconds

How This Differs from Task 3

TaskYour JobTense Used
Task 3Describe what is happening now in the picturePresent continuous
Task 4Predict what will/might happen next, based on what you observeFuture + Modals

You must now shift from describing visible actions to speculating what could happen next.


Scoring Categories

Scoring AreaWhat the Examiner Looks For
Coherence & MeaningAre your predictions clear, logical, and well-supported by the image?
Lexical RangeDo you use a variety of future and modal expressions accurately?
ListenabilityIs your speech smooth, connected, and easy to follow?
Task FulfillmentDo you make enough predictions and explain them clearly within 60 seconds?

What to Do During the 30-Second Preparation Time

Use this limited time to:

1. Quickly Scan the Whole Image Again

  • Ask: What actions or situations could lead to something else happening?

2. Identify 4–5 Predictable Moments

Look for:

  • Movement (e.g., running, biking)
  • Conflict (e.g., arguing, danger, noise)
  • Tension (e.g., animals, falling items, upset people)
  • Cause and effect situations

3. Write Quick Prediction Keywords

Examples:

  • “bike crash,” “dog runs away,” “music complaint,” “child falls,” “ice cream melts”

Memory Framework: P.R.E.D.I.C.T.

Lancity’s official framework for Task 4

StepWhat It MeansWhat to Do
PPick the key situationsChoose 4–5 actions or scenarios that might logically lead to something else
RRefer to specific peopleIdentify individuals clearly (e.g., “the man on the bike”)
EExplain your logicGive a reason for each prediction (cause and effect)
DDescribe degree of certaintyUse modals (will, might, could, probably, possibly)
IInclude transition phrasesUse “so,” “because,” “which means,” “as a result”
CConnect predictions smoothlyKeep your delivery flowing like a story
TTie it up with a final commentConclude with a general outlook or summary


Sample Prompt for Task 4:

In this picture, what do you think will most probably happen next?

CELPIP Speaking Task 4 image for Lancity

Grammar Focus: Future Forms and Modal Verbs

FormUse ExampleFunction
Will + verb“The cyclist will probably fall.”Strong prediction based on clear cause
Might + verb“The dog might run away.”Moderate likelihood
Could + verb“The baby could start crying louder.”Possibility without certainty
Going to“The couple is going to continue arguing.”Prediction based on current direction

Pro Tip: Combine with adverbs for nuance:

  • Probably, possibly, definitely, eventually, most likely, maybe, soon

Vocabulary for Prediction (From the Image)

People/ObjectsPotential Outcomes or Reactions
CyclistMight crash or hit something
DogCould get loose, scare someone, or run away
Baby in strollerMay cry louder, might fall over if stroller shakes
Couple arguingMight disturb others, escalate argument
Loud music groupWill probably be asked to leave or turn it down
Elderly manMight drop food if startled by the dog
SquirrelCould run toward the baby or dog

Sentence Templates and Transitions

Introducing Predictions:

  • “I think what’s going to happen next is…”
  • “Based on what I see, it’s likely that…”
  • “It seems like…”
  • “Most likely, the…”

Explaining Why:

  • “…because the path is crowded.”
  • “…since the dog is not on a leash.”
  • “…as the music is clearly loud near the quiet zone.”

Transitioning Between Ideas:

  • “Another thing that might happen is…”
  • “Meanwhile…”
  • “As a result…”
  • “This could lead to…”

Concluding:

  • “Overall, a few things in the park might get out of control.”
  • “In general, it seems like this calm day might not stay peaceful.”

Final Model Response (Based on Image)

I think a few things might happen in this scene.

First, the dog running in front of the cyclist could cause an accident. The cyclist might lose control and fall off his bike.

At the same time, the small boy chasing the dog might trip and hurt himself, especially since he’s running quickly near the path.

The couple who are arguing will probably disturb other people in the park, and their fight might get louder.

Meanwhile, the toddler in the stroller could start crying even more, especially if the dog comes close or the noise gets worse.

In the background, the two people playing loud music will most likely be asked to stop because they are in front of a ‘Quiet Zone’ sign.

Overall, the park might become a little chaotic if these situations continue.


Common Mistakes to Avoid

MistakeWhy It Hurts Your Score
Using present tense instead of futureReduces grammar accuracy; breaks task fulfillment
Making random or unrealistic predictionsWeakens coherence and meaning
Describing the scene instead of predictingExaminer expects forward-thinking, not repetition of Task 3
Failing to explain whyExaminer is testing reasoning, not just guesswork
Not making enough predictions (only 1–2)Doesn’t fill the 60 seconds or demonstrate language range

Ready-to-Use Prediction Outline (Based on Image)

Prep Notes Example (during 30 seconds):

  • Dog + cyclist → crash
  • Boy chasing → might trip
  • Music → will cause trouble
  • Baby → cries more
  • Couple → louder argument

Recap: How to Apply P.R.E.D.I.C.T. to the Scene

StepApplied Example
PChoose situations: dog, cyclist, crying baby, loud music, couple
R“The boy,” “the woman,” “the people with the speaker,” etc.
E“The dog might scare the cyclist and cause him to fall.”
DUse “might,” “will probably,” “could” with adverbs
I“Because…”, “which means…”, “as a result…”
CUse transitions between points
T“Overall, the park could become a bit chaotic if these things happen.”
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